As at mid-2026 we are seeing plot values (a 'plot' is the piece of land the housebuilder builds one house on - and you can normally get between 12 to 15 plots on one acre of developable land) of :
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FAILURE : Here are some recent examples of where landowners have had a bad deal :
LARGE UK HOUSEBUILDER CHANGES THE DEAL AT LAST MINUTE : The landowner put their land out to the market to obtain competitive bids from (ideally) a land promoter so their land woudl be 'market-tested'. However, whilst three land promoters showed a lot oF interest they felt the risk was too great as the site was in the greenbelt and had other very challenging restrictions. A seemingly trusted family-owned housebuilder showed a lot of interest and it was decided that they would offer the most reliable developemnt partner for the site. All went well until the housebuilder suddenly decided that they wanted to 'Exchange' as quickly as possible and....the number of houses they wanted to build dropped by almost 20%, they were applying very high 'abnormal' and 'overhead' costs as well as other 'uncapped' costs. The landowner (rightly) decided to pull out of the deal. The conclusion being : 'If you have any site larger than around 10 acres in a good part of the UK with decent house prices, then always do a Land Promotion deal and not an Option deal if you possibly can' . HOW TO LOSE £3M : At a site in East Anglia where the landowner had previously been paid (via a badly put together Option Agreement where neither side used a solicitor !) the sum of £600,000 for around 1.5 acres of their land which could accommodate 9 private houses (just below the threhold for affordable to be required) the same developer thought he could go back and push the landowner to sell the remaining 12 acres for just £800,000 (yes - incredible !). They argued this was the case because they had to have an 'overhead' of almost £3M in their calculations. In actual fact the land could accommodate some 75-100 new homes and would have a real ('market-tested') value of £4M to £5M using a Land Promotion route. Amazingly, the landowner succummbed to the entreaties of the 'local' developer and did a deal at not much more than just £1M - for a site that was really worth £4M or more. Despite great advice from Landsite the landowner just could not see reality and allowed themself to be 'taken in' by the local developer. The conclusion being : 'You can lead a landowner to water but sometimes you can't get them to drink' ! SUCCESS : And here is an example of where a landowner has secured a good deal : BE HONEST WITH LANDOWNERS FROM THE BEGINNING : A landowner in a Home County in the UK with a valuable piece of land left to her by her father had (she though sensibly) begun the process of signing into a Land Promotion Agreemeent with a well-known land promoter. After some 7 months had gone by she called Landsite to get some advice on her deal and to out astonishment it transpired she had been lied to and misled by not just the land promoter buy by the solicitor they had recommended to her (who was doing a lot fo work for that very land promoter..!). The promoter had included very dubious terms within the agreement and worse still they puleld back fromtheir original appraoch to push for a planning application quickly to what they called a 'plan-led' approach. The term of the shole agreement was an astonishing 15 years. Landsite quickly got her out of that deal and managed to ensure she also paid no ('abortive') legal fees to the solicitor to do so, saving her a potential £15,000 in costs. We then found a trusted and honest land promoter who not only offered the right deal to her but agreed to get on with the planning application within 12 months, have a sensible 'term' to the agreeement and to keep her fully informed of what was happening. There are many more good and bad tales of landowners, farmers and others getting eseentially 'ripped-off' by having signed into bad land deals - it is not really their fault as the slick talk from land directors, senior land managers and others with some glossy brochures or a website thrown in can be very persuasive. We all tend to trust certain people when we meet them and abuse of that trust is very disappointing and often with land it can end in a poor financial result. Advice to ALL landowners is get to the truth and tread very carefully. Land in the UK at the moment is very very challenging as issues in planning, legislation, politics (local and national) and the profit that many companies insist on making from land creates a real minefield. In 2022, Barratt Homes (now Barratt Redrow Plc) bought Land Promoter Gladman Developments.
In 2023, Bellway Homes purchased all the share capital of Rosconn Strategic Land (a land promoter). In 2025, Persimmon Homes bought Lone Star Land, a Warwickshire-based land promoter. Landowners should always be aware that a Land Promotion Agreement is different from a Land Option Agreement. Large Plc Housebuilders tend to only utilise Option Agreements, whereas Land Promoters use a Land Promotion Agreement. You can find out about the differences between these types of agreement in this website and we welcome any landowner seeking advice on selling land to a developer or who requires advice on selling land to a land promoter to contact us : John Holland Director LandSite Landsite Limited Penrose House 67 Hightown Road Banbury Oxfordshire OX16 9BE T. 01527 328401 M. 07971 389985 E. [email protected] W. www.landsite.co.uk  Landowners are in for a treat in 2026 as at long last house prices will begin to move (interest rates bottoming out at 3.25% will drive new mortgages across the board) and housebuilders and land promoters are already 'gearing-up' to buy more land I think.
We have recently seen land deals having completed in the last 6-8 months at much better prices 'per plot' of £99,000 in the south-east to as much as £80,000 over in Wiltshire being paid to landowners after the develoer has got planning permission. This easily equates to around £750,000+ per acre and will undoubtedlyt increase in the coming years (Savills have just announced that they think house prices could increase by 22% to 2030, on average). Further north plot values are running between £40,000 to as much as £75,000 in good areas equating to around £300,000 to £500,000+ per acre. Do call me or email if you want straight-taking advice or guidance on how best to secure a deal with a developer, housebuilder or land promoter - that is what we specialise in doing and we can definitely help you. John Holland Director Landsite Limited Penrose House 67 Hightown Road Banbury Oxfordshire OX16 9BE T. 01527 328401 M. 07971 389985 E. [email protected] W. www.landsite.co.uk The Labour Party may be thinking about building more houses but behind the front of '1.5 Million New Homes in this term' there are various lobby organisations and firms which are seeking to seriously tax landowners.
Let's look at some of the ideas out there and why or whether they can or cannot work : a) The 'Labour Land Campaign' (labourland.org) is pushing for tax on ALL land and states : "All land should be valued and taxed according to its assessed value. As well as making it possible to reduce or abolish unfair, economically inefficient taxes, this will help repair the broken UK land market - characterised by speculation and underuse - that has deprived many citizens of secure, decent accommodation, for the benefit of a small-but-powerful, wealthy minority." Of course we have heard all this before from Labour as it may be the politics of envy at work yet again. Most tax experts agree that the introduction of such a tax would probably create another banking crisis and land values might plummet and consequently cause huge mortgage affordability/funding issues. With around 30 million parcels of land in the UK could any system cope with a proper assessment of land value increases decreases be properly and fairly assessed ? It would also no doubt result in a lot of Appeals about how much tax had been charged. b) Land Value Capture Tax - this is actually used in a number of countries already (e.g. the USA) and is in effect already in place in the UK through Section 106 ('s106') payments to Councils when planning permission is granted for new housing developments (as well as another tax call Community Infrastructure Levy ('CIL'). The development of 'BNG' (Biodiverse Net Gain) whereby other land within the site or outside it has to be improved with various ecological means to improve 'biodiversity' - essentially yet another eay to tax landowners). However, as with (a) above, if Land Value Capture Tax was implemented in full it would probably cause huge problems within days due to risks to the financial markets. This is highlighted by the 2019 report 'Land Value capture through planning and legislation' written and researched by Mark Stephens as part of a UK Housing Review, he noted that the Scottish Parliament found reasons for failure of such a scheme are that there are : "insufficient incentives for landowners to bring forward land for development; the lack of resourcing provided to agencies responsible for implementation (both administrative and, in the case of local authorities, to develop their own land banks); tensions between national agencies and local government, and the associated lack of sensitivity to local circumstances of a national scheme. Other factors were the relationship between a scheme and the economic/ property cycle, where a scheme developed during a property boom might be implemented during a downturn; and a perceived lack of fairness, exhibited for example when thresholds for development scale were set too low, so bringing in relatively trivial developments and sometimes causing hardship." Finally - Housebuilders - yes, it could be argued that housebuilders essentially 'tax' landowners by simply paying too little for their land by using Option Agreements with the dreaded 'We will issue a price notice' (i.e. THEY decide the price...not the market). Tread carefully and perhaps consider getting a deal done soon before the Government tries to gobble a good chunk of your hard won profit and your family's rightful inheritance ! The potential for a new Labour government to come to power in late 2024 is set to potentially create big changes in the supply and development of land for new housing in the UK.
Various senior Labour politicians have stated they will significantly alter the Greenbelt rules for planning and that as many as 1,500,000 new homes are being targetted to be built within 5 years (considering that currently we build around 250,000 homes a year this would not actually be a significant rise). Great if it was an EXTRA 1.5 Million new homes - now that would make a difference ! However, without doubt the Nimby-driven, politically motivated, highly complicated and dreadfully slow planning system will probably get the overhaul it has needed for some time. This could mean that YOUR LAND may at last have a chance of gaining a planning permission and now is the time to engage with a development partner to start that process ? As interest rates drop and inflation falls, the land market (and economy) is looking much better for 2025-2026 and onwards and for some sites, getting a planning application in during 2024 or 2025 could mean you would be selling that site in a potentially very good market when the permission comes through. Selling at the right time in the land and housing market can make as much as a 50% difference in the price obtained, depending upon where in Britain the land is located. So do have another look at your field, farm or inherited land. Just saying 'Oh it'll happen one day' may no longer be the right decision. Landsite has been receiving a growing number of calls from concerned landowners who have found themselves signing into a promotion agreement with a land promoter and several years (sometimes months!) into the term of the agreement are now being approached to either change it or 'run' with a particular developer, suggested by the promoter.
This causes alarm for landowners as they will have been persuaded of the benefits of a promotion deal, only to find that a different or watered-down solution is now being offered. The reason(s) behind this appear twofold - firstly, the promoter has decided that they do not after all have the risk appetite or indeed in some cases the actual funds to obtain planning permission and progress the deal and would prefer to leave this to a well-heeled plc housebuilder and / or, secondly they have found the planning process is taking much much longer than they anticipated and perhaps they do not have the necessary experience or funds so they want to get back some of the money invested to date and take an easier route (potentially at the expense of the landowner !) Whilst Landsite has not witnessed this happening with the major land promoters (e.g. companies who are part of the LPDF (Land Promoters & Developers Federation), nevertheless, it appears to be a growing problem. Also, some land promoters have begun selling their business to plc housebuilders in recent years and it is difficult to properly establish whether these companies will now ask landowners to enter into an Option Agreement or even where the Promotion Agreement remains, whether there is genuine clarity about the site being properly and fully market-tested and thus sold to the highest bidder. The attitude I have found at most Land Promoters is one where they are 100% honed to getting planning permissions delivered and of course all they do is land. Their structures are also very 'team' like and flat which helps for a good work ethic and they seem to employ more women - who are universally better at this business than the men as they have the right approach, insight and tenacity. With a probable Labour Government in place by early 2025 and 6 months later Lisa Nandy (Shadow Secretary for the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities) may possibly seek to 'punish the tory shires' and take the lid off development restricted greenbelt and land around urban areas. Or perhaps not - if we are to believe that Sir Kier Starmer will embrace middle England as well as appealing to traditional Labour voters. For landowners, the very slow and complex planning system together with the awful parish, district, county and national politics are the main enemies to successful development of their land. Best to do deals with well-funded land promoters with a good track record and who can demonstrate they can and will deliver. The land market is changing - the top of the market was around mid-summer as we were all sweltering under a blazing sun when a site for 240 houses in Surrey received bids of over £50M - that equates to over £220,000 per plot (i.e. plot for a new house with planning permission to build it). Conversely, a site for 300 houses in Suffolk was seeing bids around the £20M mark.
Obviously Surrey (certain parts of it) are very exclusive and expensive but across the south-east and south of the country since Michael Gove ridiculously announced that the Government would not expect Councils to stick to the 'stalinist' housing targets which Liz Truss wanted to be rid of, the combined effect of the economic downturn, Ukraine and this new 'policy' has had a dramatic impact on the large plc housebuilders such as Taylor Wimpey, Barratt Homes, Bellway, Persimmon and others. There is now a real pull-back on land values and land acquisition. Think about it - if the papers are saying there will be a fall in house prices then potential buyers want to wait for house prices to fall. Others panic and put their house on the market and with too many sellers and too few buyers the price falls and then people lose their jobs because the economy is shrinking and the country has talked itself into a recession. So how does a landowner deal with this ? Well the first thing to bear in mind that recessions usually last perhaps 2 years at worst, maybe 3 and given the slow and difficult nature of obtaining planning permission it will take a developer or land promoter at least 2-3 years to obtain the planning permission they want. So actually doing a deal with a company now is not such a bad thing (2023) as by the time the site gets planning and you will be getting paid the 'recession' will almost certainly have passed. Most of the larger plc companies we deal with expect 2023 to be very tough but feel that the housing market will rebound in 2024. The alternative of course is for you to 'hold fire' and wait until the storm has passed - though personally I am a great fan of getting your horse in the race as soon as possible (with the right choice of jockey of course !). Land is land and will always have value. Putting your site out to the market via Landsite or any established land agent is something only YOU, as the landowner need decide. Do not be rushed into a quick decision and make sure that no only does the agent follow your wishes as much as possible but they are hard working and capable. We understand that the larger plc housebuilders were valuing 'plots' for houses in the south/south-east (e.g. a site with planning for 100 new houses has 100 'plots') at around £100,000 apiece in 2022 so at roughly 12 houses (plots) to the acre that gives you a good idea of the value of your site (but bear in mind to knock off say 10-15% as the 'gross' area of a site is less than the 'net' area actually developed for housing. In other parts of the UK land for housing development is probably closer to £50,000 per 'plot'. So - (say) £1,000,000 + an acre in the 'top' places and more like £500,000+ an acre in the areas which are not as 'hot'. An interesting article posted on the well-respected 'Construction Index' website recently highlighted the fact that the top positions of the plc housebuilders have been changing places in recent years as they deal with Coronavirus, increased costs and the ever-present challenge of developing more 'greenfield' sites to meet the demand for houses rather than flats - 'trapped in a flat with higher insurance costs, no garden and the fear of fire..' - well buy a new home on an estate in the countryside and enjoy garden, fresh air and space..'
The Construction Index analysis showed that 10 of the top twenty companies saw profits decline last year. With new blood (ex-Persimmon boss Jeff Fairburn invigorating housebuilder Avant Homes, the huge rise of the land promotion companies in the last 10 years and the changes which have already started in terms of how new homes are physically built (or should we say delivered on a truck nowadays) and it is clear that the industry is going through some interesting changes. Watch out for the regional family firms - the Davidsons Homes and Hill Homes, the growing capacity of the 'old' Housing Associations who are now full-stream private and social developers (the Keepmoat, Catalyst, Kier and Orbit of this world) together with the growth of companies like Legal & General Homes (L&G). It seems highly likely that if L&G make a great success of their homes business then more of the large financial institutions may follow and sooner or later some of the large US or Middle-East based capital houses will start injecting money into the sector if profits continue. Well, until a Labour Government brings in new taxes on land sales. https://www.theconstructionindex.co.uk/news/view/house-builders-start-to-struggle Industry sources which Landsite has recently been speaking to are saying that land with planning for residential development is being competitively priced as the Coronavirus 'lockdown' eases.
Two major plc housebuilder Land Directors have separately told Landsite that they have witnessed sites being sold for record prices in recent weeks and one Managing Director has confirmed that he has been informed by colleagues in charge of other Regional Offices that they think land prices are rising as competition for the best sites increases. Se this against the slow, slow world of planning and the restrictions of the greenbelt and it is no surprise that the housing land supply for a growing number of District and Borough Councils is falling below the important 5-year supply deadline/requirement. Land prices per acre which may be currently around £750,000 per acre (with planning) may therefore begin to edge towards the magic one million pounds per acre mark soon. For some latest news on prices see : www.housingtoday.co.uk/news/residential-land-value-grew-in-fourth-quarter-of-2020/5110122.article https://mspcapital.co.uk/land-development-prices-on-the-rise/ www.savills.com/research_articles/255800/310310-0 What does this mean for prospective landowners who have land with potential for residential development ? Well good news in that not only will land values keep rising for land with planning permission but the offers to enter into Option Agreements of Promotion Agreements with the Land Promoters, housebuilders and developers will be ever more generous and competitive in order to persuade landowners to run with their company rather than another. There are probably over 150 land promotion companies in the UK today varying in size from large, plc-backed firms employing perhaps 30+ specialist staff to smaller one-man businesses with some family or private funding behind them. |
About this Blog :Some useful articles & links to resources which landowners can read and connect with to assist them with learning more about the process, pitfalls, challenges and positive outcomes for selling their land. Archives
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Landsite Limited
Registered office : Penrose House, 67 Hightown Road, Banbury, Oxfordshire OX16 9BE
Telephone : 01527 328401 Mobile : 07971 389985
E-Mail : [email protected] Web. www.landsite.co.uk
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